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Member Blog: Understanding Michigan’s Booming Pre-Roll Market and Cannabis Testing Requirements

There is no hotter pre roll market in the country than Michigan.  

With an average unit price of $6.16 – one of the lowest in the country, according to cannabis analytics firm Headset – retailers have sold more than 56.7 million units for a total of more than $349.8 million through the first seven months of 2024. That puts the state of Michigan in the top spot for pre-roll units sold and second place – to much larger California – in pre-roll revenue. 

And sales are actually accelerating, with Michigan posting record high pre-roll sales numbers of nearly $54.9 million in July 2024. 

But if you want to compete in the Great Lakes State’s exciting and expanding marketplace, you are going to need to make sure you understand and follow Michigan’s cannabis testing program. 

In Michigan, state law requires all “raw plant material” be tested for the following:  

  • Moisture content and water activity; 
  • Residual pesticides and chemicals; 
  • Microbial impurities; 
  • Mycotoxins; 
  • Foreign materials; 
  • Heavy metals; and 
  • Potency. 

These tests are primarily implemented to safeguard consumers from hidden risks in cannabis products.  

“Laboratory testing minimizes the risk of exposure to pesticides, microbes, heavy metals,  molds, and residual solvents by providing consumers with information about the products they are purchasing and helps to prevent consumption by sensitive populations,” reads the “Sampling and Testing Technical Guidance for Marijuana Products” document created by the state’s Cannabis Regulatory Agency

For example, moisture content and water activity measurements are indicators of potential mold growth. When water activity exceeds 0.70 Aw, it creates an environment conducive to mold development, which can be detrimental if ingested. This is why Michigan, like many other states, has set a maximum water activity limit of 0.65 Aw for flower and pre-rolls. 

Heavy Metals Testing in Michigan 

Heavy metals are absorbed through a plant’s roots and can damage all of the body’s vital systems, including the respiratory system, the central nervous system and the reproductive system, even in small doses. That’s why Michigan, like all states, requires products to pass strict heavy metals testing. 

But where most states limit testing to the “Big Four” heavy metals of mercury, cadmium, lead and arsenic, Michigan goes a step farther, joining a handful of states that require testing for chromium and even adding nickel to the list as well.  

Microbials and Mycotoxins 

Though certainly dangerous, heavy metals are less of a threat to human health than microbials and mycotoxins. 

Michigan requires testing for standard microbials like yeast, mold, E. coli and salmonella, as well as Aspergillus flavus, fumigatus, niger and terreus.  

As for mycotoxins, toxic compounds produced by molds, such as Aspergillus, can suppress the immune system and cause liver damage, so testing for them is certainly a health and safety issue. Michigan law requires testing for Aflatoxin B1, Aflatoxin B2, Aflatoxin G1, Aflatoxin G2 and Ochratoxin A, requiring all to be less than 20 parts per billion to receive a passing grade. 

Pesticides and residual chemicals 

Michigan allows the use of some pesticides and other chemicals on cannabis, but only those appearing on the Michigan Marijuana Pesticide List, which was updated in early 2024. Pesticides on that list have been reviewed for use by the Michigan Department of Agriculture and Rural Development (MDARD) and may be used in accordance with the label instructions. 

For testing purposes, state law requires labs check cannabis for 58 different residual chemicals, each with their own action limits. 

Keeping your pre-rolls in compliance 

Michigan regulations require tests be conducted in the product’s “final form,” though that applies to the flower itself, according to an email from the Cannabis Regulatory Agency. 

“If the pre-rolls were tested as flower, that would be considered final form testing unless something was added to materially change the product,” they wrote. 

But with so much time and effort spent ensuring your cannabis stays in compliance with state regulations, why would you want to pack it into pre-rolled cones that haven’t also been tested? 

To ensure your cannabis stays clean, only use pre rolled cones that that have also been tested for microbials, pesticides and heavy metals. Medical patients in particular need to be careful to ensure that the paper in their pre-rolls isn’tgoing to make them sick, whether they buy them at a dispensary or pack pre-rolls at home

In fact, a study from California’s SC labs found that 11% of rolling papers they tested would fail that state’s testing regiment, which doesn’t even include Chromium, and that 90% of rolling papers contained heavy metals with more than 8% containing them at a rate above the allowable limits. 

In fact, this year, a team of researchers from Michigan this year tested 53 commercially available pre rolled cones and rolling papers and found varying levels of heavy metals throughout the samples, many of which would have caused failures if included in testing. 

“Even if testing is not required, any one issue can harm your brand,” says Custom Cones USA Compliance Manager André Bayard. “It’s important to make sure you work with a company that is as focused on keeping your products in compliance as you are.” 

Bayard always recommends confirming your pre-roll supplier has COAs available to prove their products are clean and will pass tests, or will send you samples for you to test before committing to a full order.  

“Make sure your supplier is focused on those requirements and is trying to set the industry standard with their products,” Bayard says. 

Join Us for More Exclusive Insights on the Michigan Marketplace

Striving to stay informed about Michigan’s dynamic cannabis industry? Mark your calendars for our upcoming Michigan Stakeholder Summit being held in Detroit, MI on Thursday, September 12th.

At the Michigan Stakeholder Summit 2024 you’ll be able to dive deep into the latest trends, regulations, and opportunities shaping Michigan’s cannabis landscape, including hearing directly from Brian Hanna, Executive Director of Michigan’s Cannabis Regulatory Agency. All industry professionals are invited; NCIA members attend free. Register here to secure your spot.

Member Blog: Pre-Roll Market Industry Trends and Growth Potential

By Harrison Bard, Co-Founder and CEO, Custom Cones USA

Pre-Rolls More than a Trend

Having the ability to identify trends in the cannabis industry is vital for producers to build a successful brand, and the biggest trend in ther cannabis industry right now is pre-rolls. Growing at 12% YoY in the US and 38% YoY in Canada, pre-rolls are the fastest growing cannabis product in the world of legal cannabis, and it’s not close. 

This trend could be chalked up to a sudden rise in popularity and as something that will decline once another hot trend appears; however, we believe that the rise of pre-rolls is more than just a flash in the pan. In fact, after looking over the sales data we received from Headset, we believe that pre-rolls will not only continue their growth, but they will become the bestselling cannabis products by 2030.

Here’s why!

Prices Fall, Sales Rise, Both Stabilize

Over the past few years, the wholesale price of flower has dropped dramatically in mature markets, and cheaper cannabis costs have allowed producers to source higher quality flower for their pre-rolls. Combined with the advances in pre-roll making machinery, quality pre-rolls are now able to be sold at a lower retail price, which has driven strong growth for the category.

As you can see from the graph, pre-roll sales have steadily increased as prices have fallen, but the last two years have seen both sales and prices begin to stabilize. The pre-roll segment that has seen the most growth during this time is infused pre-rolls. Customers love high THC percentages, and producers are happy to finally be able to offer it to them in an affordable pre-roll form.

Graph: Pre-Roll Sales and Prices Over Time

Pre-Rolls have the Least Amount of Price Compression

It’s not just pre-roll prices that are falling. Prices are down across the board, but even though prices for all cannabis products declines over time, pre-rolls are showing the least amount of price compression. In other words, if you are in the business of selling cannabis, and you are worried about declining margins, pre-rolls are a category you should be expanding into to maintain and boost profitability.

Graph: Yearly Change in Equivalized Price by County - Category Price Compression

You can also see from the graph that Canada has actually seen the average price of a pre-roll increase, but there is nuance to this data. This does not mean that pre-rolls are getting more expensive for Canadian consumers. This data shows just how popular infused pre-rolls are becoming. They are becoming so popular that people are choosing to buy them over regular, more affordable pre-rolls, and that change in buying habits has increased the average sales price for pre-rolls. 

Pre-Roll Multi-Packs

Another interesting trend we see in the sales data is that pre-roll multi-packs have become extremely popular. In 2018, multi-packs of pre-rolls only made up 27.7% of the market in Oregon, Washington, and Colorado. By 2023, multi-packs make up 47.62% of the market—representing a growth of about 20% over 5 years. Also, Since 2021, we have seen an almost 400% growth in multi-packs that have a volume of 2 or 5 grams as well as steady growth across most other sizes.

Buying pre-rolls by the pack is a lot more convenient for consumers. It means not making a special trip to the dispensary every time a pre-roll is wanted. The rise in their popularity is a sign that consumers are investing in pre-rolls as a staple in their cannabis routine. Because they know they will continue to enjoy pre-rolls, they buy multiples at a time for convenience, and it’s this kind of product loyalty that moves a product from a trend into something more. 

Wallet Share by Age

Another interesting thing about pre-rolls is that, when it comes to wallet share, they are the most consistent product segment across all age groups. Other products show a significant increase or decrease in popularity with each new generation; however, pre-rolls steadily hover between 12.8% and 14.5% in each group and even show a slight increase with the younger generations. 

Graph: Wallet Share by Age Groups

It’s also important to note the decline of flower with younger generations. Why this is significant is because, at their core, pre-rolls are a flower product, and they are not following the same decline in sales. They distinguish themselves from loose flower by providing consumers a way to enjoy their flower without extra paraphernalia. In this way, we think pre-rolls could start to eat into the flower market, as they better meet the consumption needs of flower customers. 

Pre-Roll Attachment Rates

Another big reason why pre-rolls will remain a dominant product segment in the future is that they are the perfect add-on item at the point of sale. The data shows that, when a person walks into a dispensary, they will add-on a pre-roll 15.5% to 23.3% of the time. In fact, in all product segments, pre-rolls either have the highest attachment rate or are within a single percentage point of the leader.

Graph: Attachment Rate of Cannabis Product Type In other words, no matter what a customer is interested in purchasing, it doesn’t take a lot of convincing to get them to add on a pre-roll. They’re reasonably priced, made with quality materials, and incredibly convenient. Whether they want to consume it right away or want to save it for later, pre-rolls have become something flower lovers like to have on-hand for whenever, and that makes it more than a trend. That makes it a staple.

Convenience Impacting Pre-Roll Purchasing

Cannabis is starting to make its way into mainstream culture. You can’t buy it at your local grocery store, like you can buy wine or cigarettes, but it’s out there. The legalization of cannabis has opened the door to innovation in the cannabis industry, and those innovations are starting to have an impact on everything—especially consumption. 

Flower needs paraphernalia to be consumed, and, if you are just trying to enjoy cannabis, sometimes you just don’t want the hassle. Pre-Rolls are unique in that they offer the consumer flower as well as a way to consume it, so it’s not too much a leap to think that pre-roll could keep expanding and start eating into flower sales. 

In this way, cannabis can be compared to tobacco. Even though people can buy loose tobacco and roll their own cigarettes or use a pipe, most people are buying pre-rolled products. Even though the tobacco quality, smoking experience, and price point can be better when you buy loose tobacco, most people are choosing the convenient option. It shouldn’t surprise us that cannabis starting to fall into this pattern as the market matures. 

Final Thoughts on The Pre-Roll Market

The data lets us know that pre-rolls are doing amazing things when it comes to sales, but it is also giving us hints as to trends in consumption methods. Pre-rolls are a flower product, and it’s clear from the data that flower consumers are buying into the convenience of pre-rolls. This is more than just a trend, but a shift in the preferences around flower consumption. Because of this shift, we can see pre-rolls taking on a more prominent role as the cannabis industry continues its expansion. 

For a more in-depth look at the pre-roll industry, be sure to check out the State of the Pre-Roll White Paper, and, if you have any questions, feel free to reach out to the Pre-Roll Experts at Custom Cones USA.

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